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A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, September 24-25, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Factor Member Webinar September 2022 – Drawdowns". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "What a difference a line makes, September 22, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Every fabulously successful trader I have ever met were Bayesian in their thinking, whether they knew it or not. "One-and-done fixed" probability is terribly broken way of thinking
Bayes Theorem, the Geometry of Changing Beliefs newtraderu.com/2022/09/19/bay…
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, September 17-18, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "The Monthly – August 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
This is a fractal chart construction known as a descending triangle. If it continues in the fractal, $ADA should have one more significant decline. "Should," not "must"
Inflation is nothing more than a tax on income and savings that exorbitantly penalizes the elderly and middle and lower classes. Yesterday @POTUS celebrated that millions of Americans are worse off with an 8.3% tax that Biden announced as a victory 
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "MEMBER WEBINAR: September 13, 2022 at 2p Central – Drawdowns". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, February 10-11, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
The German DAX $DAX is forming a bearish descending triangle. Decisively close below lower boundary would likely result in mini-crash. Close above Aug high would indicate morphing ahead.
Precisely the definition of a society free from government tyranny
Quote: "Mr. Trump and his followers, believe it or not, are essentially antifascists: They want the state to stand aside, to impose the least possible interference and allow market forces and entrepreneurial energies to work." wsj.com/articles/biden…
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Factor Member Webinar August 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "The Dreaded “D” Word, August 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "CORRECTION – Thoughts on a Weekend, August 28-29, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "MEMBER WEBINAR: August 29, 2022 at 3p Central, Market Review and Q&A with Peter Brandt". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, August 27-28, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
With $SHIB hold above neckline support, or will we need to drop the letter "B" and adopt a different letter that comes later in the alphabet?
For all practical purposes the target of the rising wedge in Bitcoin $BTC has already been met. That is not a reason per se to be bullish and it does not mean BTC cannot go lower yet
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, August 13-14, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
The daily chart of composite grain prices (Wheat, Corn, Beans) is forming an inverted H&S, yet the trend is strongly down. Most periods of congestion are resolved in the direction of the primary trend. $ZC_F $ZW_F $ZS_F Important #WASDE report pending today
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, August 6-7, 2022 (issued Aug 5)". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
This was funny more than a year ago when $BTC was making a top at $57,000. It is still one of the funniest TV segments ever produced and will be forever more no matter what Bitcoin eventually does @saylor @billmaher
Drawdowns are inevitable in trading. Not a question of if, but a question of when, how often, how severe. It is how a trader understands and reacts to drawdowns that determines his/her future as a trader.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, July 30-31, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Gold #GOLD $GLD $GC_F held the lower boundary of a 23-month rectangle (yellow) that will serve as the Handle for a massive C&H. The bull market has started. Prices head north. Target headed to $3,000+ over next couple of years
The shorts in just about every market are getting caught with their hands in the cookie jar. Metals, cryptos, stocks, commodities
So, what if a squash self identifies as a carrot orbs potato or even a raspberry or even a non-binary food item
If you think all life is precious then you will be intrigued to know that your DNA has a 30% overlap with a squash. That squash has the right to live as much as you do. Vegetables are sentient beings, often found in DNC focus groups.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, July 23-24, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Yes, this is quite incredible. I traded Corn $ZC_F and Beans $ZS_F and Wheat $ZW_F in 2021 at the same absolute price levels at which I traded them in the 1970s. I expect price levels to ratchet to higher zone within next few years twitter.com/RaoulGMI/statu…
I've enjoyed Tour de France in 2022. Most enjoyable was tremendous show of sportsmanship by Vingegaard toward Pogacar in Thursday's stage. Athletes around the world need to learn from this @LeTour @JumboVismaRoad
The chart of Dec European Carbon Allowances is experiencing a possible downside breakout of a diamond chart pattern. $ECF_F
A small dynamite charge would also do the job
LOL...seems the climate activists have taken things to the next level in with quick concrete
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Secured by energy only in the sense that it is useless without an exorbitant use of energy -- and then without providing economic function. It is a huge myth that somehow $BTC is anything but energy consumption.
@saylor #Bitcoin
is a digital commodity because it has no issuer and is secured by energy.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "What does the future of grain prices look like?". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Really really looking forward to visiting with Cheds. Lots of phonies out there in trading land and Cheds is one of the for-real younger market speculators.
No big deal I’m just interviewing Peter Brandt tomorrow on my YouTube channel
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "The Monthly – June 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, July 9-10, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "MEMBER WEBINAR: July 8, 2022 at 3p Central, Market Review and Q&A with Peter Brandt". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
An intelligent response from @JeffBezos to an Alzheimer tweet from senile Joe
Ouch. Inflation is far too important a problem for the White House to keep making statements like this. It’s either straight ahead misdirection or a deep misunderstanding of basic market dynamics. twitter.com/potus/status/1…
twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1543409762867494912
How do oil companies have the nerve to earn a 3% gross profit margin?
Background. Of course it's basic economics that any kind of price controls will result in shortages. Market participants cannot be forced to sell at a loss, if that is asked of them they will simply withdraw from the market.
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It’s a HUGE lack of knowledge that ppl think America is a democracy. Never was. Was never intended to be. America was formed as Republic. The two forms of govt are different. Smaller states have 2 Senators for balance of power reasons. Read history.
Are you kidding?? More power to the fruits and nuts on the East and West coasts. Present system is designed to protect minorities. Isn’t that what you are all about?
Unpopular (?) opinion: Despite the various, very serious threats to American democracy, things would *mostly* be fine if the balance of elected power more closely reflected the popular will (e.g. Senate seats proportional to population, no Electoral College, less gerrymandering).
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a July 4 Weekend, July 2-3, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Definition should be changed to "one who adheres or belongs to an obnoxiously public party, sect or other group"
TIL the primary meaning of “crypto” used to be “one who adheres or belongs secretly to a party, sect, or other group”.
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The gap down on June 21 is likely to prove itself as a break-away gap, marking the seasonal high in Nov Beans. This gap is not likely to be filled. $ZS_F ZSX22
Super proud of my son Creighton and the career he has enjoyed with the ATF @ATFHQ @ATFPhoenix I'm sure he and Kali will be trusted partners for many years
We'd like to introduce you to the newest addition to the Phoenix Field Division, explosive detection canine Cali. Cali and her Special Agent Canine Handler recently graduated from ATF's National Canine Division. Cali is trained to find explosives, weapons, and shell casings.
Just as most diagonal patterns fail while most horizontal patterns work
Rule of thumb: most reversal patterns fail. Most continuation patterns succeed
Is the bull market in energy over? IPE Gas Oil $IP_F suggests it is not. A decisive close above 1351.25 could trigger another thrust to the upside
No laser eyes for me yet, but I am taking my sun glasses off
The chart suggests a target of $300. Targets are not sacred -- sometimes they are hit, sometimes not, sometimes exceeded. But for now I would not buy $ETH with my enemy's money $ETH
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, June 18-19, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Of far greater danger is the value of the funny money (aka stable coins) that were invented out of thin error with the full faith and backing of non-transparent and non-regulated rip-off exchanges including $USDT
The zone in yellow will determine if Bitcoin $BTC is an asset with actual value or just the last version of the Pet Rock and the Beanie Baby
The zone in yellow will determine if Bitcoin $BTC is an asset with actual value or just the last version of the Pet Rock and the Beanie Baby
@TulsiGabbard for President. To think she could have been the Democratic candidate in 2020.
ExxonMobil sets the old man straight corporate.exxonmobil.com/News/Newsroom/…
BTW, Trump is not even a consideration for me. He is a despicable and egotistical
A retest of $20,000 and 2017 high could provide relief rally in $btc. But remember — relief rally only
Especially the lives of ppl with lengthy auto commute or those seeking mortgage
Biden, visibly angry: "I don't want to hear anymore of these lies about reckless spending. We're changing people's lives!"
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Hey @BigCheds the Dec 2017 and Jun 2019 highs now seem like quite manageable downside targets. Do you have a preference?
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "The Monthly – May 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
This would be the fourth 80%-plus correction since 2011. It would be the first time a correction goes below the previous high peak (which was about 19,900 in 2017) twitter.com/BigCheds/statu…
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, June 4-5, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Great thread Tom. Although I would posit that logical minds should never assume that government bureaucrats will ever be logical
Great questions posed by @SaraEisen. Let’s go through the multiple steps of the questions she raises. [1/n]
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A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Major buy signal in Silver, June 2, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Soybean futures are constructing a possible top. It is possible that the seasonal highs are in place in grain prices. $ZS_F
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Zero Hedge article about Paul Tudor Jones". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
Super interesting chart, Aksel. This bodes well for European markets
#EUROPE #STOXX This could well be a breakout and pullback on the very long-term charts. While looking at trees don't miss the forest.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Memorial Day Weekend Afternoon, May 28-29 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
As usual, fabulously educational and insightful charts from Tom McClellan.
My latest Chart In Focus article, "Gasoline Consumption Rebounding, But Still Down", is posted at mcoscillator.com/learning_cente….
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Anatomy of possible trade, Soybeans, May 22, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.
A report for #Factormembers post was issued "Thoughts on a Weekend Afternoon, May 21/22, 2022". Please see here peterlbrandt.com/factor-reports/ for more details.